Zelensky warns US not to play Putin's game: Operation Vivaldi frees up to 140 sq km, but Kyiv fears backroom oil deal

Zelensky told Reuters that playing with Russian compromises is a waste of time, revealed Operation Vivaldi has freed 125–140 sq km, and put Russian losses at 42,000 per month. Meanwhile, NYT reports US-Russia talks now include a multi-billion dollar Lukoil oil deal involving Kushner and Witkoff.

Several people in camouflage uniforms, helmets and face coverings, some with optical devices mounted on their helmets and one holding a rifle, stand among tall grass and bare, dead trees under a pale sky.1 / 4
Open full-size image
Several people in camouflage uniforms, helmets and face coverings, some with optical devices mounted on their helmets and one holding a rifle, stand among tall grass and bare, dead trees under a pale sky.© Kyiv Post

President Volodymyr Zelensky did something on Thursday that leaders dependent on foreign aid rarely do: he openly told his benefactor they might be making a mistake.

"I think we will waste time if we play with Russian compromises," Zelensky said in an exclusive interview with Reuters. Putin, he warned, will keep raising demands the moment he sees Washington's need for a "win" before the US midterm elections.

The warning wasn't just diplomatic protocol. It was a cry of alarm.

Because while Zelensky was detailing the successes of Ukraine's Operation Vivaldi, The New York Times published an investigation revealing that US-Russia talks on ending the war have expanded to include a multi-billion dollar oil deal involving Lukoil assets. According to the report, Putin himself raised the sale of Russian energy assets during discussions with Trump's special envoys — Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff.

In other words, while Ukrainian troops are liberating villages in Donbas, Washington is discussing how much to pay the Kremlin for peace.

Operation Vivaldi: what the numbers show

Zelensky for the first time gave specific figures for the offensive that has been underway for several months. "Vivaldi is a very successful operation. It is not yet finished. As of today, approximately 125–140 square kilometers have been liberated," he said.

Earlier, commander of the 3rd Army Corps Andriy Biletsky reported that the third phase alone (completed September 28) added 51 km² — liberating Nove, Ridkodub, Katerynivka, and restoring control over Karpivka and Novomykhailivka. In total, the corps has reclaimed 176 km² since the start of offensive operations.

Biletsky revealed an intriguing tactical detail: Soviet BTR-60 armored personnel carriers were converted into robotic kamikaze vehicles to breach defenses. The Russians were convinced the main strike would come at Shandryholove–Zelena Dolyna, wasting reserves in counterattacks while the real blow fell on Nove.

Russian losses in the third phase: approximately 2,000 men, over 250 prisoners.

42,000 per month — and rising

Zelensky also updated Russian casualty figures. Earlier this year, losses stood at 30,000–32,000 per month (21,000–22,000 killed, the rest severely wounded). Now, he said, the figure has climbed to 42,000.

The Institute for the Study of War confirms the trend: September 2026 was a record month, with 46,320 Russian casualties according to the Ukrainian General Staff. Russia is losing men faster than it can train replacements — yet continues to press attacks.

Zelensky did not disclose Ukrainian losses, saying only that they are "several times smaller." This is standard wartime practice, but the absence of numbers leaves room for speculation.

The real battle is not on the front line

The most striking part of the interview was not about the war itself — but about the politics surrounding it.

Zelensky said he trusts the US desire to end the war. But he added: "It is difficult to stop someone so big who does not want to stop."

That was about Putin. But not only.

The Ukrainian president went on to warn that Putin will do everything to "pressure the Iranians and bring the situation to the point where negotiations become impossible." In other words, the Kremlin has no intention of making real compromises — it is simply stalling, betting on Western fatigue.

And here lies the core problem: according to the NYT, Washington is already engaged in talks that go far beyond Ukraine. An oil deal with Russia is not about peace in Ukraine. It is about business. If Trump gets a "win" in the form of a deal with Putin, the price of that win could be Ukrainian territory.

Zelensky understands this. That is why he said: "America is a hundred times stronger than Russia — and should not forget it."

What comes next

On October 4, Zelensky announced that Ukraine has agreed to a trilateral technical meeting in the UAE. "The ball is now in Russia's court," he said. But no date has been set.

The same day, he revealed that Ukraine still has a $4 billion budget deficit. Germany announced a new €1.3 billion aid package — a drop in the ocean.

While Kyiv counts money, Moscow and Washington appear to be counting barrels.

The central question left by Zelensky's interview: will the White House listen? Will Operation Vivaldi become a bargaining chip at the negotiating table — or just a footnote in a story where superpowers carve up spheres of influence?

The answer will come in the coming weeks. And it may determine whether Ukraine has any chance of ending this war on its own terms.

Fact checking

Primary sources

Documents and statements this story is based on.